← All research Systematic review & meta-analysis · 2026 · Under revision

Explaining teacher adoption of AI through the Technology Acceptance Model

Prashanth Shenoy & Mirka Saarela · Faculty of Information Technology, University of Jyväskylä

38

empirical studies synthesised under PRISMA

15,919

teachers represented

19

countries

98%

heterogeneity (I²) across all three pooled associations

The study in six slides
01 / 06

A model from 1989, pointed at a technology from 2023

When researchers want to predict whether teachers will use an AI tool, they almost always reach for the Technology Acceptance Model: people adopt what they find useful and easy to use.

That model was built for spreadsheets and email, technologies that are stable, legible, and do what they are told. Generative AI is none of those things. It is opaque, it changes underneath you, and it can do a version of the job the teacher thought was theirs.

So the question is whether the old model still earns its keep.

02 / 06

What went into the pool

A PRISMA systematic review identified 38 empirical studies of teacher AI adoption: 15,919 teachers across 19 countries.

Twenty-four of those reported correlations that could be extracted and pooled (N = 11,768). Those were transformed to Fisher-z, combined under a random-effects model, and converted back for reporting.

The other fourteen studies were not discarded. They carry the qualitative synthesis that turns out to matter more than the averages.

03 / 06

The averages look reassuring

All three core relationships are positive and moderate to strong:

Ease of use ↔ Usefulness   r = .53
Ease of use ↔ Intention   r = .54
Usefulness ↔ Intention   r = .62

Usefulness is the strongest link to intention. Read this far and the conclusion writes itself: convince teachers a tool is useful and they will adopt it.

04 / 06

Then look at the spread

The narrow bar is the confidence interval, showing how precisely the average is known. The wide bar is the prediction interval: where the association would plausibly land in the next school you walk into.

For every one of the three, that interval starts below zero and runs almost to one. The average is well estimated. The next case could fall almost anywhere along that range.

r = 0 Ease ↔ Useful Ease ↔ Intent Useful ↔ Intent −0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
05 / 06

What the variation is actually made of

The qualitative synthesis of all 38 studies locates five conditions behind the spread:

  1. AI literacy and trust. A usefulness judgment needs a working model of what the system can do.
  2. Identity, not just function. Acceptance shifts from "does it work" to "what does it make me".
  3. Institutional context and social norms. Mandates and peer practice.
  4. Tool-specific logics. A chatbot and a grading system are not adopted the same way.
  5. Ethical risk. A values-based gate that can override a positive usefulness judgment.
06 / 06

What to do with this

If you are deciding whether teachers in your institution will take up an AI tool, the usefulness-and-ease survey will give you a confident average that may not transfer to your setting.

The questions that carry the variance are different ones: do these teachers have a working model of what the system does? Does it threaten or extend how they see their job? What does the institution actually reward? And where is their ethical line?

The model is a compass, not a map. It gives you the direction; it does not give you the terrain.

PS

Swipe, or use ← →

The numbers, precisely

Association r 95% CI 95% PI
Ease of use ↔ Usefulness .532[.410, .636] [−.231, .890]98.6%
Ease of use ↔ Intention .536[.435, .623] [−.091, .859]97.9%
Usefulness ↔ Intention .619[.511, .708] [−.115, .916]98.6%
Random-effects meta-analysis, k = 24 studies, DerSimonian–Laird estimator. CI = confidence interval around the mean effect. PI = prediction interval for the true effect in a new study.

How it was done

Correlations were transformed to Fisher-z to stabilise variance, pooled under a random-effects model, and back-transformed for presentation. Heterogeneity was quantified with I² and τ², and 95% prediction intervals computed to express the dispersion of true effects rather than the precision of the mean.

Robustness was checked three ways. Re-estimating under REML with a Hartung–Knapp adjustment moved the point estimates by less than .001. Including UTAUT studies under a construct-equivalence ruling produced no detectable subgroup difference. Leave-one-out diagnostics traced the funnel asymmetry flagged by Egger's regression to a single large, low-effect study of an institutional mandate. Under heterogeneity of this magnitude, that asymmetry is not interpretable as evidence of selective publication.

The three propositions it leaves behind

Rather than stopping at "context matters", the review formalises the qualitative findings into claims someone can go and test:

  • The literacy precondition. AI literacy moderates how ease of use feeds usefulness. Teachers without a grounded model of system capability form usefulness judgments on thinner ground.
  • The pedagogical filter. The usefulness-to-intention link is stronger among constructivist than transmissive teachers.
  • The ethical gate. Perceived ethical risk suppresses intention independently of usefulness, and can work against it.

These are expected to hold for AI that is generative or adaptive and intersects the instructional role, not for tools that merely support delivery without substituting for professional judgment.

What this study cannot tell you

ERIC and PsycINFO were not searched, and the search was restricted to English-language publications; both may have excluded eligible work, particularly from educational-research venues indexed elsewhere. School level, region and tool type were tested as moderators and none reached significance, but the constructs the qualitative synthesis identifies as important, such as pedagogical beliefs and AI literacy level, could not be tested at all, because primary studies report them inconsistently. Twenty of the 24 pooled studies use latent correlations, which are disattenuated for measurement error and therefore run modestly higher than observed correlations would.

Citation

Shenoy, P., & Saarela, M. (2026). Explaining teacher adoption of AI through the Technology Acceptance Model: A meta-analysis and systematic review. Manuscript under revision.

This manuscript is currently under revision following peer review. The figures reported here are from the version under review and may change before publication.

Contact

Ask about any of this

Email prshenoy@jyu.fi University of Jyväskylä
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